After years of trading the stock market, I have learned what drives the market, and why the market does what it does. The four facts to the right are the 100% absolutes I look for in a stock before I short sell that stock.
Contrary to popular belief, news is designed to lead the herd while professionals want the stock to run. The news is also used to generate buyers at the top when they want to sell their shares.
I trade based on Richard Wyckoff's Market Phases and Volume Spread Analysis (VSA). For short-selling, I am looking for "Distribution" and "Mark Down" phases. My blog posts contain my watchlist. Typical targets range from 10-40%, and typical duration is intraday to 3 trading sessions. Stop losses are always enforced.
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Stocks that go up eventually come down
Volume exposes professional activity
Professionals manipulate the stock price
Professionals sell at the highs